D-Wave presented a roadmap: fail-resistant quantum computer per 100 logical kubits by 2032
6/2/2026, 08:50 AM • Евгения Слив

D-Wave Quantum has unveiled its quantum computing development strategy, targeting the creation of a fault-tolerant 100-logical-qubit system by 2032. Developers assert this machine will execute over 1 million operations, enabling practical applications in artificial intelligence and quantum chemistry.
The roadmap outlines phased scaling: from 17 physical qubits with a halved error rate in 2026 to a 181-qubit system featuring a 2000-fold error reduction by 2028. By 2030, a 10-logical-qubit system is scheduled to test initial fault-tolerant algorithms. The technology relies on a superconducting dual-rail architecture, enabling error correction cycles 100 to 1000 times faster than neutral atom or trapped-ion alternatives. Built-in detection identifies up to 90% of computational inaccuracies early, minimizing the need for extra physical qubits.
Furthermore, D-Wave reported achieving 99.9% accuracy in two-qubit operations (one error per 1000 actions) and highlighted the Lambda metric, which tracks the rate of error reduction. While industry averages hover around 2, D-Wave’s target reaches 10. Notably, experts had already expressed skepticism regarding the company's claims of quantum supremacy in May.
