According to Sebastian Hassinger, a former IBM Quantum specialist and host of the podcast The New Quantum Era, the industry will approach the creation of quantum computers with 50 logical qubits within the next five years. In an interview with Quantum Computing Report, the expert characterized this threshold as the "point of no return" – crossing it will make classical supercomputers unable to adequately simulate quantum processes. Meanwhile, QuEra Computing's Chief Commercial Officer Yuval Boger called this timeline overly cautious, pointing to a successful experiment by Harvard and QuEra that demonstrated 48 logical qubits.

When forming his industry forecast, Hassinger assigns near‑term leadership to neutral‑atom platforms, highlighting their advanced LDPC codes, although he acknowledges the problem of their low clock speed. In the medium term, he predicts the dominance of superconducting technologies, and in the long term, photonic and spin systems will take the lead. Boger, relying on the position of QuEra's CTO Vladan Vuletić (who extended the leadership forecast for neutral atoms to ten years), disagreed with his colleague. He emphasized that optimized algorithms and a physical‑to‑logical qubit ratio of 2:1 will relieve the industry of the need to scale up millions of physical qubits to achieve practical quantum advantage.

These expert assessments come during a period of active technological leaps and increasing precision of quantum systems. For example, in May, Quantum Machines documented a median two‑qubit gate fidelity of 99.5% using Rigetti's commercial superconducting chip Novera. And on June 1, D‑Wave Quantum unveiled a strategy for developing a fault‑tolerant quantum computer based on 100 logical qubits by 2032, serving as further confirmation of the industry's transition toward commercially viable architectures.